Aftermarket October 2022

OCTOBER 2022 AFTERMARKET 21 www.aftermarketonline.net Self-driving to supercharge global LiDAR market to US$3bn+ within five years Two new reports have highlighted self-driving as one of the main factors predicted to boost the global LiDAR market. According to Polaris Market Research, the global automotive LiDAR market is anticipated to reach US$4.14bn by 2026, increasing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of more than 35%. It noted: “Solid state sensor being low- cost, robust, as well as compact in size, makes it ideal for potential large-scale production of Level 3 and Level 4 cars. Further, mechanical sensors and other sensors also capture decent market share.” Polaris highlight leading players including Delphi, Continental, Robert Bosch and Denso. A separate report, by Markets And Markets, largely concurs, predicting a CAGR of 21.6% from 2021 to 2026 to US$3.4 billion by 2026.However, it focused more on unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) – drones – and 4D LiDAR specifically. In March, sensing systems developer Aeva announced that its Aeries 4D LiDAR sensors are now supported on the Nvidia Drive autonomous vehicle platform. As well as measuring distance and plotting the position of objects in x, y and z, Aeva's 4D-LiDAR plots velocity as a fourth dimension. Soroush Salehian, CEO at Aeva (formerly of Apple's Special Projects Group), said: “Aeva’s sensors deliver superior capabilities that allow for autonomy in a broader operational design domain (ODD).” www.aftermarketonline.net This summer, the US Department of Transportation’s National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) published the first of what will be monthly reports into crashes involving vehicles with advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and more advanced automated driving systems (ADS). In brief, for SAE Level 2 ADAS equipped vehicles, 367 crashes were reported from July 2021 to 15 May 2022, resulting in six fatalities and five cases of serious injury. Tesla reported the most, followed by Honda and Subaru. Cue the headlines, “Tesla Autopilot and Other Driver- Assist Systems Linked to Hundreds of Crashes” in the New York Times, and “Teslas running Autopilot involved in 273 crashes reported since last year” in the Washington Post. However, the United States Public Interest Research Group (US PIRG) shed light on this, explaining that “Teslas are connected to the internet and automatically report if the car was in Autopilot when it crashed. Honda asks its drivers if they were using ADAS, so it relies on hard-to-verify personal accounts. Everyone else leaves it up to the police report.” For ADS, nearly all the data comes from California. 130 crashes were reported from July 2021 to 15 May 2022. One resulted in serious injury. Waymo reported the most incidents, followed by Transdev Alternative Solutions and then Cruise. Dr. Steven Cliff, NHTSA’s Administrator, said: “New vehicle technologies have the potential to help prevent crashes, reduce crash severity and save lives, and the Department is interested in fostering technologies that are proven to do so; collecting this data is an important step in that effort. As we gather more data, NHTSA will be able to better identify any emerging risks or trends and learn more about how these technologies are performing in the real world.” On this side of the pond, The Law Commission has recommended that automated vehicles must be able to record and store data necessary for incident investigation. How long before we get similar monthly stats? www.aftermarketonline.net US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration publishes first monthly report into ADAS and ADS crashes